Ms. TfK, normally not a fan of my political posts, asks for clarity on the Senate situation.
Two races are too close to call right now: Jim Webb and George Allen in Virginia, and Conrad Burns and Jon Tester in Montana.
George Allen was a frontrunner in the 2008 GOP presidential race until his history with white supremacists was exposed, and he decided to use an obscure French racial epithet against a Webb staffer. That race is tight enough (6,700 votes out of 2.3 million) that it won’t be called until all the election boards have had a chance to review all the totals. Right now, Webb is ahead and I doubt that we’ll see any change there. DNC and RNC lawyers are pitching camps in preparation for any battle that may come.
The spread in Montana is narrower, but represents a larger percentage spread. Progressive Democrat Jon Tester has a 3,100 vote lead right now, and the final call in that race will also depend on handcounts and provisional ballots. As I’m writing this, I see that those counts are final, and Tester won.
That means that, at worst, Democrats have 50 seats. That means that Democrats will have equal numbers on Senate Committees and will have equally large staffs. If Webb’s lead holds (and I don’t know that there’s any particular reason to think it won’t), Democrats will take the Senate, and I’m done with political blogging until the end of the year.